0 i8 L: ^# ~# y: O0 q* rTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。說了那麼多，是否「西烏」一定獨立無望？不是的。是否應爭取獨立，是「西烏」人自己才能決定的問題，但真的決定爭取，在目前國際格局，只會有上述後果。符合國際遊戲規則的獨立方式，應是先掩飾自己的獨立訴求，找一個面目模糊的中性候選人參選總統，贏了大選，然後以中央身份推動聯邦制，讓「東烏」、「西烏」分別享有克里米亞那樣的自治共和國地位，鞏固了邊界，確立了政治、經濟模式，再不斷修憲，最終和平分手。過程當然依然困難，但起碼是王道。公仔箱論壇5 `1 k& M% ^9 d/ ^! W. c
5.39.217.76: l6 j8 i- N/ T7 ]* O) V/ \- Y" G 作者: felicity2010 時間: 2014-2-23 10:28 AM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-2-23 10:35 AM 編輯 tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb' D! i& `' o0 L/ ^
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Carl Bildt: Europe’s Crisis in Ukraine公仔箱論壇; {" T+ e- D, X4 a, x/ l5 v
# r# I( |! @; v# n$ lTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。5.39.217.76* ^. I) d4 q! Z
STOCKHOLM – How Ukraine’s profound crisis will end is impossible to predict. We in the European Union and the United States are doing what we can to secure a peaceful transition to a more stable democracy, and the implementation, at long last, of urgently needed reforms. And the agreement now concluded between President Viktor Yanukovich and the opposition should create a new possibility for this.' D/ N; |2 v$ E3 b8 u: K! c# P5 C
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8 K! N, F4 G. J. [8 p& E9 k5.39.217.76If the agreement is not honored, Ukraine could well continue its descent into chaos and conflict, which would be in no one’s interest. That is why Ukraine’s crisis is a European crisis. And, though we cannot know how the crisis will end, we should be very clear about how it started. 5 F! N+ b% F+ w. S+ v% m公仔箱論壇$ M4 n; o" l: d# V( t& e
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For years, Ukraine sought a closer relationship with the EU. Its leaders warmly endorsed the promise of enhanced ties under the EU’s Eastern Partnership, and pushed for an EU Association Agreement, together with a Deep and Comprehensive Free Trade Area. When those talks,which began under the previous Ukrainian government, were concluded, the agreement was endorsed by all four presidents and all 14 prime ministers to hold office since Ukraine achieved independence in 1991. T9 V `' l; b
" u/ {% H$ t' {* t7 H) @; p% U公仔箱論壇 ! ?' K3 O; d2 p: I& E. c# C2 pBut, as the EU and Ukraine were addressing remaining issues ahead of the November 2013 Eastern Partnership summit in Vilnius, where Ukraine was to sign its Association Agreement, something suddenly changed. From August onward, Russian policymakers embraced the openly declared aim of knocking Ukraine off the course that it had chosen. A political campaign against the agreement was launched, and the Kremlin mixed targeted sanctions with threats of harsher measures against the already-weak Ukrainian economy.5.39.217.762 k6 {1 E1 l9 @$ t
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Russian leaders publicly stated that if Ukraine signed a free-trade agreement with the EU, it would lose its free-trade deal with Russia, and high tariffs would be imposed on all goods and services. Severe economic pressure, it was made clear, would become open economic warfare., X" P( t1 s, F0 y- O
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Ukrainian President Viktor Yanukovich gave way. In explaining to EU leaders that he was not ready to sign the Association Agreement, he was very clear that Russian pressure was responsible for his decision. 0 r: \" [3 q/ _* x9 Utvb now,tvbnow,bttvbtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb) |3 A! q+ d* {: n
% B: q6 g G% e xThis set in motion the chain of events that has now resulted in carnage and death in the streets of Kyiv. For many Ukrainians,Europe was the symbol of hope of a better life; suddenly, they felt betrayed by a political elite that they had long perceived as being incorrigibly corrupt.So, to be clear, it was the Kremlin’s pressure, and the Yanukovich administration’s vacillation, that produced the current crisis. # u* N& f% F1 a7 @4 i) T2 Ttvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5.39.217.76! u( ?, k0 [' X& X$ ]( r7 J
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Had Yanukovich decided to stand up to Russian pressure,there is no doubt that Ukraine would have faced difficulties. But, with an EU Association Agreement and the possibility of solid financial aid and reform assistance from the International Monetary Fund, the Russian measures would not have been sustainable. 7 p/ C; \. x k Z% I) Q" K4 Q y- `- B1 F/ h1 ]: j% c7 y
8 T& m- l* I" TTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Of course, the reforms asked of Ukraine would have been difficult, but no more difficult than what had been asked of other ex-communist countries that saw their future in and with Europe. There would have been light at the end of the tunnel, and, as Ukraine embraced the reform process, it would have been seen as a determined and democratic European country. & R7 o1 P# t' A# \ c. Z; \% v1 j- t# C$ C; o
: p& o; `7 K% Y6 Q/ x: _& t' E8 ?3 t! K3 H3 UInstead, Yanukovich opted for a short-term strategy narrowly focused on his own political survival – a strategy that the protesters increasingly came to view as a game of deceit and betrayal. As the regime started to use violence to repress its opponents, violent opposition groups gained credibility.5.39.217.76" {' l0 W# r" E' `6 B" e
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Free trade with both Russia and the EU would obviously havebeen good for Ukraine’s economy, thus providing a boost to the Russian economy as well, notwithstanding the oft-used but fundamentally bogus argument that EU goods would flow into Russia via Ukraine. (Has anyone heard Americans complaining that the free-trade agreement between Mexico and the EU is undermining the US economy?)5.39.217.766 [, H# O( ]1 x' Z
' Y- z+ |* k. e$ b+ \; }5.39.217.76 % b1 c9 a2 w) ~) q: D# }Russia is intent on building a new strategic bastion in the form of its proposed Eurasia Union, and it seems determined to force Ukraine to join. While publicly grumbling about supposed EU pressure on Ukraine, the reality is that Russia brutally extorted the country into abandoning its EU course. That is the source of this crisis; the facts speak for themselves.; Z! v: y4 d' K' C
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Even under the best of circumstances, the road back for Ukraine will be difficult. Russian pressure and destabilization, and the crisis to which they have led, have created new fissures in Ukraine’s society and have caused further damage to its fragile economy. And that damage could, one day, spill over into Russia. The Kremlin should have an interest in a stable and reforming neighbor that, like other countries, is also seeking a close relationship with the EU. R* F8 O" U4 M. V) j
5 @2 \( n& o' N# M; E * N/ C: k6 H5 hCarl Bildt has been Sweden’s foreign minister since 2006, and was Prime Minister from 1991 to 1994, when he negotiated Sweden’s EU accession. A renowned international diplomat, he served as EU Special Envoy to the Former Yugoslavia, High Representative for Bosnia and Herzegovina, UN Special Envoy to the Balkans, and Co-Chairman of the Dayton Peace Conference.$ m8 l0 U$ ]8 \* k. m& D
( }- m1 \! l! i' N' }) k3 ptvb now,tvbnow,bttvbKYIV – Acrid black smoke hangs in the air and stings the eye in much of central Kyiv, where state repression is dampening hope of resolving Ukraine’s political crisis. With a truce between the government and the opposition shattered only hours after it came into effect, and with dozens of people reported killed in recent days, any hope for an end to the country’s deepening civil disorder appears to be fading fast.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1 @. f& U. U9 e) J! n) r# b6 \
3 d: Q4 F$ {- |$ R4 @5.39.217.76 $ S/ k4 M+ @' {' i4 \+ {& Z公仔箱論壇Yes, a tentative settlement has been reached, following mediation by European Union foreign ministers, with a promise of early elections. But such settlements have been proposed before, and no agreement is likely to gain broad acceptance unless it includes the immediate departure of President Viktor Yanukovich.5.39.217.769 y |- `. {$ z, O4 [
2 j) c5 W9 j. g- e* Q7 D" }TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 % R; J: K% W. {( N$ ]1 W: K5 N6 x5.39.217.76In fact, Yanukovich’s government seems prepared to use any and all measures to remain in power. Taking a page from Russian President Vladimir Putin’s playbook, tax police are prosecuting civil-society organizations in the hope of cowing them into silence and irrelevance. Yet,despite such intimidation, Ukrainians from all walks of life have been protesting for three months in cities across the country. ; T* a# d5 G1 X8 M' L$ I5 D 6 f2 S3 P X7 ? 9 q( C/ `# ^2 I. q; S& b( f5.39.217.76At its heart, this is a struggle between Ukraine’s European-oriented West and its Russian-fixated East for the country’s geopolitical soul. Will Ukraine move closer to the European Union or instead join the Russian-dominated Eurasian Union?公仔箱論壇: N5 R8 o( m+ R4 t% ]" h, V7 [$ C. j+ ]
8 R# U( t1 D. ]: [3 W5 vtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb 4 m n! t$ v) h+ V# j; e公仔箱論壇Despite the mounting violence, Ukraine is not on the vergeof civil war – at least not yet. But make no mistake: the risk of the country –and its military – splintering is very real, as Yanukovich’s decision to sackVolodymyr Zamana, the head of the armed forces, attests. The conflict needs tobe stopped now.5.39.217.764 G$ s$ W+ l0 B. v/ G% e
To achieve that, Ukraine needs a transitional government ofexperts and a new constitution that returns the country to the system thatprevailed until a decade ago, with power divided between Parliament and thepresident. Moreover, a presidential election should be held within threemonths, with a new parliament voted in soon after. - S# ?1 }) U' p7 r0 s1 Ptvb now,tvbnow,bttvb 3 E+ l! A, ^+ L- r# V5.39.217.76 b* k4 J8 k! |* T* X0 D: ~
But Yanukovich has shown that he does not want a negotiated solution. Until the recent surge in violence, it seemed that dialogue might defuse tensions. An amnesty for detained protesters was offered, and protesters agreed to withdraw from government buildings. But when demonstrators fulfilled their promise and evacuated occupied buildings, Yanukovich resorted to force in an effort to end the protests altogether. 0 O& C2 W4 E6 ]3 S; y: `- @+ N- ?% I公仔箱論壇公仔箱論壇- w: w' \' }8 g# d6 F, J2 }7 R
& ]( X, ?9 m$ E8 q; T9 X公仔箱論壇Indeed, the police began firing into crowds of demonstrators, and have reportedly killed at least 70 and injured hundreds more. Hospitals are overflowing, and many people are avoiding state clinics, because they are afraid of being detained – or worse. The activist Yuri Verbitsky, a mathematical physicist, was abducted by five men in late January from a Kyiv hospital, where he had gone to seek treatment after being injured by a stun grenade at a demonstration. Verbitsky’s battered body was found the next day in a forest outside the city.5.39.217.768 S; Q2 e9 a1 N1 ^
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Any prospect for resolving the crisis ultimately depends on regaining citizens’ trust in their police and security forces, which are now viewed by many as an occupying force.To reestablish the public’s confidence, there can be no impunity for those who fired bullets or gave the orders to fire. Officials’ excessive use of force,and the government’s reliance on semi-criminal thugs (known as titushki)to attack protesters, must be thoroughly investigated.5.39.217.769 j% m2 x7 B/ ?% z9 \* `7 y
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But, even as the ongoing violence makes such an investigation all the more urgent, Ukraine’s prosecutor and courts refuse to act. That is why it is crucial that a high-level international mission –comprising civil-society leaders, the Council of Europe, and the European Union– launch a comprehensive inquiry and pressure Ukraine’s government to cooperate.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。0 p$ x4 ^/ n7 J
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The EU and the United States have introduced diplomatic sanctions since the latest round of murderous violence began. This should include a travel ban not only on all officials who ordered, oversaw, or implemented the crackdown, but also on Yanukovich’s political enablers: the oligarchs who are now sitting on the sidelines while spiriting large sums of money out of the country. / o$ Z e* i3 j2 Q0 A% V+ [公仔箱論壇$ r# c, [0 Q7 y
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Sanctions should be lifted only when a credible investigation into the last three months of violence is permitted and a technocratic government is in place (at which point the EU and its member states should offer concrete economic assistance). Prime Minister Mykola Azarovresigned last month, ostensibly to make way for such a solution. But Yanukovich has refused to take the next step, or to commit to constitutional reforms,which largely explains the protesters’ growing frustration – and their determination to press ahead in the face of brutal repression. % T5 N6 p* |$ rtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb5.39.217.763 M7 d- I4 X$ w4 f
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There is a perception in the West that all of Ukraine’s political forces are weak, divided, and corrupt. And there are growing concerns,often fueled by sensationalist media coverage, that far-right forces are gaining the upper hand within the opposition camp. But, though such forces do exist, the vast majority of demonstrators on the Maidans across the country are ordinary people angry about abuse of power, state violence, official impunity,and corruption. 0 o( ` P9 {/ S8 o, Y( \tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb ' A4 K$ f7 ^! c$ D; n) X0 Z R% d
For the venal and vicious elites who have taken control of Ukraine, the real threat is these demonstrators’ perseverance, not the provocations of a radical fringe. Indeed, while I refuse to believe that Ukraine’s march to civil war is unstoppable, I also know that our citizens will never be silenced again. 9 Q8 A' C/ }4 P0 E6 L5 B" `7 t公仔箱論壇 1 o3 n; d/ C3 M' i" A% m2 |tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbYevhen Bystrytsky is Executive Director of the International Renaissance Foundation公仔箱論壇+ Y- i3 V5 {) M4 K8 A7 O3 b& N0 F
tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb7 \0 a3 b3 K" \' ^ 作者: felicity2010 時間: 2014-2-23 11:11 AM
' Y0 h$ f, t: h+ p& w4 `TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 ! ~) m# X' S3 Stvb now,tvbnow,bttvb 2 m) b5 q$ n0 ~7 v在上周四（20日）基輔警民衝突中喪生的部分死者翌日舉殯，他們的棺木抬經獨立廣場，接受民眾致哀。（路透社）tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb( y6 N0 B" [1 i9 ]$ x: i" u
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TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。% q, G* L" \; ~& |' j B' { 2 `! ^) y! i/ E/ O t5.39.217.76/ J1 |( R6 T5 y4 q, Y, p: H7 W TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。5 E! K$ |6 L- A7 P! `+ t
Yulia Tymoshenko addresses crowd in Kiev after release from prison, as MPs vote to impeach Viktor Yanukovych5.39.217.76; A6 y2 B0 m; X* g3 S. k0 r; M; R9 k
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tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb N x8 o8 u! }; Y$ q$ ^& G* Q 作者: felicity2010 時間: 2014-2-23 05:26 PM
852郵報:烏國國會罷免親俄總統 三困局未解局勢未許樂觀 5 O9 @' _2 N E' a5.39.217.76tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1 \3 E" T) J/ t0 q. l% P 3 m) m- }, M% p1 zTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 # O4 J! X) p0 e" L# j/ j0 I3 J; b
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: @5 P' H% A$ E: |9 V * {2 k7 w# t$ M3 X# l
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連日來導致眾多示威者死傷的烏克蘭，昨日深夜出現政局變天。在親政府議長辭職下，烏克蘭國會通過罷免總統亞努科維奇，將於今年五月重新舉行大選。亞努科維奇拒絕承認國會的決定，並且已經出走首都基輔，去到較親俄的烏克蘭東部地區。被囚禁兩年多的「橙色革命」領袖，前總理季莫申科同時獲釋，並馬上宣佈將會參與五月的大選。而首都基輔，現時已落入親歐在野黨的控制。# H$ Q* A1 L* W. R: K. G
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