+ A) s# a/ L$ s. T4 o- dtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb林鄭月娥說過了,梁振英的誠信備受質疑。即位當天便好幾十萬人上街要他下台,以這樣的民望,未來五年,漫漫長路,總不成像邵善波所言,一直捱打吧。職是之故,不管是為了保住現今的寶座,或是在一七年尋求連任,他都有需要用一切辦法——包括建立第二個權力核心——提升民望。5.39.217.76: f3 k" V9 b3 q% ?/ A
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。/ z# P2 a( l7 ~& \ B9 E8 N2 C' t
要而言之,提升民望,兩道板斧而已:要麼便派糖,要麼便做出政績,讓七百萬人的生活一天天好起來。庫房裡有的是公帑,大有條件派糖,不這樣做才怪呢。事實上他一上任什麼長者交通優惠、長者特惠金、長者電梯……不便紛紛出籠了嗎? 6 Q5 L7 L9 |) X. i* K A " @" D8 X2 O. P5 ^# A) a4 T5.39.217.76一直捱打 9 v( Z7 w- g% T9 k) K6 C" v5.39.217.76 * a* k* l' v9 N: ~5.39.217.76政績可是另一回事了。要做出惠及社會上每一個階層、令人人都感受到好處的政策,要克服的困難,說多大有多大。即以抑壓樓價而言,不要以為樓價下跌便人人歡笑了。起碼那一百二十多萬業主便不見得會高興了。辣招頻出,物業交投淡靜,那四萬名地產經紀又會高興麼?公仔箱論壇6 X) h2 o8 f4 S4 o. S+ Q6 g! H
5 o) k. l+ E" W W* i, ^" \TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。然而不管推行真正惠民的政策來得有多困難,也不管「梁才」如何難求,他也不得推出這種、那種政策以求建立民望。可是沒有人才,構思又焉能妥貼?政策先天欠妥,更找二、三流的腳色掛帥印推行,效果如何,相信也無需鄙人多費唇舌了。5.39.217.76! Z n2 E/ n9 N' v: z: l
( o' q/ |! H, C! c4 C+ r公仔箱論壇政策思慮不周、所託非人以致事故頻生,可以說是梁振英上任五個月的縮影了。白表居屋計劃、國民教育固然是這麼的一回事,找邵善波出掌中策組同樣是這麼的一回事。這麼一來,整個政府又焉能不一直捱打?政府捱打,十八萬公務員的士氣如何,可以想見。公務員整體士氣低落,打擊服務質素,整體民望又焉能不滑坡?& N4 S: ]6 G3 j$ C
3 f3 p2 {# `/ l) O" t* MTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。四級統治者公仔箱論壇6 J" J( H, c L, L
5 \4 N' k5 ^7 vtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb標榜有為進取的政府落得如斯境地,不禁讓我想起了《道德經》的十七章來。按林語堂先生的解讀,這一章的主題是給執權統治者來個評級,老子定下的級別是這樣的: % k: s4 y- l$ y. v) H [7 v) A3 k 7 B/ M: U a$ h% K( `; UTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。「太上,不知有之。」——最卓越的 A級統治者,人民不是當佢冇到,或是山高皇帝遠、帝力於我何有哉?而是根本意識不到其存在。 ! C9 Q( ^9 }, K D' u* ytvb now,tvbnow,bttvbtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb- s3 V# v: Y1 b$ b
「其次,親而譽之。」次一等的 B級統治者,是像張默生先生所言,「加恩德於民」,為人民愛戴嘉譽,有點兒像打着龍獅旗的港英政府——香港人暱稱英女皇為「契媽」;過渡夜,維港兩岸汽車響號揮別查理士王子及老友記般的末代港督肥彭。到了今天,龍獅旗比殖民地年代更為普遍,香港人對港英的感情如何,也不用說了。# x s+ j, I, Y$ e$ S8 l
" w/ e7 d, S& l" w. N. C「其次,畏之。」再次一等的 C級統治者就像戒嚴時期台灣的老總統,那個時候誰不畏懼他三分? + y0 t6 g$ i- G; ]/ y; i7 k, V. W5.39.217.765.39.217.760 x2 d7 e$ {! q: }+ S
「其次,侮之。」完全不合格的 D級統治者為人民鄙視,不是掟蕉便是拉布加以侮辱。那到底像是什麼地方的統治者,大家也心中有數了。5.39.217.76) C7 l- C, @9 w1 G. ^& _
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這 ABCD的四級分類,頂級的只能往神話故事裡去尋了。一旦伊利沙伯二世百年歸老,恐怕 B級的政府亦將成為歷史陳跡。三權制衡,在資訊時代執權者儘管還是會作惡,要人們真的害怕畏懼嗎,有難度。故此當今之世,人民大都視執權者為「不可少之惡」(a necessary evil);妥協共存,當然說不上「親而譽之」了。至於不及格的 D級政府嗎,那是「特殊材料」打造出來的。 ; ? r/ g) `( y, ^TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。3 `5 y3 w7 ~: x2 J 百姓皆謂我自然tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb2 V* ]0 K; X% W# u+ x/ d0 u
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是什麼的「特殊材料」?老子這樣說:「信不足焉,有不信焉。」張默生先生這樣解說:「在上的誠信不足,所以人民自然不能信仰他。」各位,你說這像不像梁振英政府施政癱瘓的癥結?嘴巴說全心全意服務市民,找來做事的卻是邵善波、吳克儉、張炳良、高靜芝……般的貨色,那又像是言行一致麼?人民不信任你,但又莫奈之何,除了鄙視不屑,七百萬人又還做得什麼?tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb& b" v, c% D& v, A7 w4 w
+ a, ^. H' m; |$ K) C: `6 P- y* FTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。老子不只斷症,更作出有益、有建設性的忠告:「悠兮其貴言。」張默生這樣解說:「不要多事更張、不要亂發命令,使人民得以安居樂業。」即是不要一天到晚干預這個、干預那個。 , p3 o+ D A; k% M9 h# |7 B$ Y * w4 d9 Q+ m% d$ m抑制干預所為者何?騰出空間讓人民發揮幹勁創意。人們有廣闊空間多所發揮,「功成事遂,百姓皆謂我自然。」——人民知道命運在我手,弄出成果,一切榮耀歸於自己,那個喜樂又豈是執權者所能賜予的?5.39.217.76% K8 Y6 K, c" e% ?! g
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事實上這不正也是「積極不干預」的要義嗎?不要以為積極不干預執權者便繑起雙手,什麼都不用做。非也。即使不「多事更張」,社會上可有這種、那種利益壓力團體要利用政府的權勢為他們效力;不費一番氣力難以制止這些「尋租」行為。故此積極不干預非但要有識見,更要有勇氣和承擔。 & s5 u- x8 o: B* Otvb now,tvbnow,bttvb ( \' P" g4 n, C7 o5 `5.39.217.76即以紅磡隧道而言。從望後鏡看,那當然是再好沒有的交通基建設施。可是當初牽頭的商家既要政府提供財政支持,更要道路交通接駁予與各種方便。面對這些壓力需索,積極不干預又談何容易?最終郭伯偉從土地的使用權、道路網絡收費等各方面捍衞了納稅人的權益。這樣的積極不干預,極考功夫,二、三流腳色哪有這個本事?; {( O p( m& g9 t7 y
* F0 @5 L [+ ~/ Q& p4 p中策組梁粉 style; b3 r x3 b# [4 s" p6 x! q
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回歸後中策組做大量民意調查,顧汝德嚴正指:「我在位時一個民調都無做,假設問人是否支持復建居屋,仲加多句可能打擊樓價喎,好無聊。」公仔箱論壇8 f7 x! F' v: d: W6 b% h
) o Y7 l: d. r+ N1 N董建華和曾蔭權年代、由劉兆佳主政的中策組做得最多民調,曾被質疑問:「李柱銘是否漢奸」、「陳方安生是否忽然民主」、「曾俊華應否下台」(派六千元後)。顧汝德如此評價:「劉兆佳是很出色的學者,但學者通常都不擅長政治政策,因為學術不是解決實際問題。」 / K. F% Z q) A' {TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。公仔箱論壇( F; |2 `! m, ~
中策組的民意調查及專題研究,部分外判予大學智庫進行,其中一間收政府錢的,就是養肥邵善波的一國兩制研究中心。有前官員透露,回歸初期中策組每年獲撥款五千萬元,當中約五分一落入中心。中心工作之一,是每週整理剪報並加入分析評論,再交予中策組首席顧問,稱為「內參」,其他顧問不能輕易取得。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。7 T; Z' P7 p2 j3 V& v# ~- U- T [
J6 Q. p/ Y) _究竟中心在回歸後替中策組做了什麼研究及民調、收了幾多公帑,中心回覆指,內部運作不會公開。負責中策組傳媒查詢的保安局沒有回覆。立法會文件曾零碎指出,中心在○三年替中策組做的單一專題研究,收了一百三十萬元顧問費。今個財政年度中策組獲公帑撥款八千四百萬元營運。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb( c v% g& b6 y. {" }
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顧汝德說:「我的中策組無外判過任何研究,我有最叻人才、又有唔同界別的人俾意見,唔需要嘥錢搵外人。」顧指,九七前他已將中策組文件運返英國,二○二七年便會解封,到時大眾便知道他領導的中策組真貌。但回歸後香港沒有檔案法,換言之中策組閉門造車,公眾將永遠被蒙在鼓裡。3 C# f1 ~( j) L `1 t/ N
! A5 o# O/ p3 F2 k8 U, r+ x 左王言論惹火 0 q, ?; u# s* Z5 j6 s+ |9 Wtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb " k9 H2 Y/ f& E直通北京、與中策組關係密切的一國兩制研究中心,由梁振英及邵善波打骰近廿年。六十三歲的邵善波八十年代起便與梁振英拍住為北京效力,由新華社香港分社副社長毛鈞年引薦出任基本法諮詢委員會副秘書長,是秘書長梁振英的副手。梁振英的黨員疑雲來自這高職,邵善波亦曾被懷疑是黨一分子。 9 w4 Y" W% v$ ]- k8 \2 hTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。2 V v- ?/ K @& ~0 @+ n0 R
邵善波中學讀九龍華仁書院,是校內風頭躉,既是學生會副會長、又搞校報、練長跑。畢業後赴美威斯康辛大學、後到康奈爾大學研究院,主修工業及勞工關係。他居於洛杉磯時創辦華文書報社,替左傾的《七十年代》雜誌在當地發行,後來自行創辦同樣靠左的《焦點》雜誌。據了解,邵善波在美時活躍華人圈子,估計搭上駐美中國大使,其名字再轉到毛鈞年手上。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 Q- h7 W9 C, l: [' N9 }
& v, N. t3 M0 c: [( H x+ [* w: {Stephen Brown: Interfere No More / e$ o& ?" ?) V. G3 W公仔箱論壇2012年11月29日 ! B' T0 } \, u% S6 w3 l公仔箱論壇 " v' q1 E5 x( a2 ]% [TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。* p! M* ^/ W q2 o# |" u/ T
The last few weeks have seen the continued stagnation of the Leung Administration,as policy initiatives stumble and as the Administration seems unable to manage a united front. 8 d$ ?* Q |+ ?3 w5.39.217.76 9 `* P! b/ r# ^$ T9 e# \2 l公仔箱論壇Some of the events that have undermined the Administration have been self inflicted,while others, such as appointing an investment banker to Exco whose qualification seemed to be that he owned 27 properties must be seen by the public as being downright stupid.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb$ _1 _/ o7 Y2 I- f6 {8 n5 p
But,despite these ups and downs, the real problem is the fact that we are still not clear about what C.Y. Leung and his team stand for, which became an even bigger issue when he decided to push back the Policy Address to early 2013.公仔箱論壇3 W: T0 `& r7 i! ~
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Looking at moves such as those to support the less well off, it is not clear if this is a portent of more social expenditure going forward, or if there is going to be some universal integration of benefits so that those people who are not able to gain access to public housing, for example, are not substantially dis-advantaged. 8 x1 l6 [$ x" ]! X! p$ o: C5 C6 }tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: ?3 p; |) ]; B1 t! ~. D- V
Similarly,we have seen an Administration that has been harping on about Mainland integration while, at the same time, having to heed the cries of the local populace and starts putting in administrative measures to halt the one-way torrent of people coming across the border. 3 L3 B- M ]0 B% L8 V4 n2 Ytvb now,tvbnow,bttvb6 m4 V0 a$ W) H7 F
And where does this Administration stand on economic policy? We have no clue either here, from what I can see. The portents here are not good, however. + Y) `' J4 W# A1 A5.39.217.76The clumsy intervention into the property market by penalizing those who are not Hong Kong abode holders is not a smart move.公仔箱論壇3 S2 d. o# h# c$ j( h6 a
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First off, it does not, as a Government spokesman stated at the time, give a preference to those that are committed to Hong Kong. It merely gives a benefit to those that have the right of abode here. 7 t9 K/ b8 V& e, n( M* e5.39.217.76. `" m C0 s# o' g
For instance, my two grown up children benefit from their residency status for all sorts of things, including avoiding the latest stamp duty measures, though they only irregularly return from overseas where they are students. % p0 {) c8 N7 z- @, x* bTVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb1 [( j7 I$ {$ Z4 T: Q9 J
They qualify for HOS and PRH public housing units because, as students, they still have no income; they can come back for free health care and later in life retire here and get the public to pick up the bill. And, of course,non-resident holders of the right of abode can sit across the border and use our educational and other services every day- for free.3 X1 Q% h1 v+ ?3 u
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, G* t# }+ u( Y5 b; I
This nonsensical stamp duty discrimination highlights just how wrong the Government is when it adjudges the right of abode to be the basis for receiving free public sector goods and services, irrespective of the ordinary residency of the people claiming the benefit.5.39.217.76 F4 S7 m8 P+ t; E4 z; m0 N$ n
! A& m* ^ d; q* hSecondly,and more importantly, what the random stamp duty initiative undoubtedly does do is send a message to all around the world that policy in Hong Kong in relation to assets, their price levels and investment overall will in future be subject to ad hoc Government measures, as and when they see fit. Will they put a capital gains tax on stock transactions if the Hang Seng Index soars?tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb% t+ b1 N9 p. U9 b, s
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And then, finally, when it comes to the punitive taxation of property transactions,reducing liquidity in the major domestic asset market, and one that is used for funding all sorts of economic activities and which is a key component of household balance-sheets, is simply not smart.5.39.217.76; X& b) h- T0 k. N$ t' ]! [; Z: h
' e; _& D: f E5 h! mWe needed the meat put on the bones of the Chief Executive’ s Election Manifesto,but we are now months on from the election and the skeleton is still the only thing you can find in the shop window. 3 @: `; X4 |. o5.39.217.76tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb% B0 ~% R3 g1 I& d
You do not have to be an evangelical Republican to believe that excessive government interference is not the way to go, but the early signs are that we will get more frequent and increasingly dis-jointed policy initiatives that simply compound the perceived problems that they seek to address.* K% Q6 r7 Y& \4 a% C. X* }: ~
: L: Y# N* M5 x l( d6 `TVBNOW 含有熱門話題,最新最快電視,軟體,遊戲,電影,動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。In reality, C.Y. Leung just needs to do one or two simple things as a start: give the people of Hong Kong a break and start to solve a few issues with clear structural reforms,and stand back. How about for a start giving public housing away to its occupants and making sure that only those who have been ordinarily resident for seven years can get on the public sector gravy train.5.39.217.76/ P) U+ J! l0 X' E/ \
& i; g6 R$ O* K公仔箱論壇5.39.217.764 H6 A5 `. o0 h: e Stephen Brown is a director of the Civic Exchange, a Hong Kong-based think tank