奧巴馬發動新一輪「反華大圍堵」 林和立 & K/ F% e; t( t2 ^; B公仔箱論壇 - p& F& o7 `) W0 Y5 H公仔箱論壇0 L$ g4 b+ w* y: O
中美角力正從幕後博弈走向正面交鋒。美國總統奧巴馬以東道主身份主持在夏威夷舉行的亞太經合組織（ＡＰＥＣ）後，將訪問印尼與澳洲。奧巴馬除了宣示「美國重返亞洲」外，還加緊部署北京定性為「反華陰謀」的包圍圈來遏制中國在該地區的外交、經濟與軍事影響力。 * T* ?5 F( O* q; M8 {% s( H5.39.217.76 T0 q& T% F$ y1 c3 L8 m5.39.217.76TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, X) ^3 J; N; N2 X/ m 加強經濟軍事合作TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。% v# D( T3 h% U. T3 e7 {
首先，奧巴馬在ＡＰＥＣ元首峯會上硬銷「跨太平洋戰略經濟夥伴關係協定」（ＴＰＰ）。此自由貿易區將包括美國、日本、澳洲、新西蘭、新加坡、越南、汶萊、智利和秘魯九國。但華盛頓並沒有邀請中國加入，而北京的官員與學者都視ＴＰＰ為美國與中國爭奪在亞洲經貿主導權的撒手鐧。新華社的評論指出，華府推ＴＰＰ「是為了提升美國在亞太地區的主導權」，同時「美國希望藉此制訂新的國際貿易規則」。中方外交界私底下更表示ＴＰＰ是要削弱中國在亞太地區快速增長的經貿網路。9 }( m* M) O c$ i6 r
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更重要的是，華盛頓近幾月加緊與區內好幾個國家的軍事聯盟，而這些動作明顯針對解放軍在南中國海與其他區內熱點越發霸道的硬實力投放。奧巴馬本周訪問澳洲時，將宣佈美、澳的嶄新國防合作，包括美國海、空軍設備與武器長期擺放在澳洲的基地、增加兩軍共同培訓與演習次數等。同時，美國一直在背後支撐包括越南、菲律賓、印尼等與中國在南中國海有主權糾紛的國家。最令北京頭痛的是，華盛頓亦慫恿日本與印度加入南中國海的戰圈。例如印度國營石油公司準備在越南與中國有爭議的西沙群島與河內合作開採石油與天然氣；而日本最近與越南和菲律賓簽訂了軍事合作與情報交換協議。5.39.217.763 U: V6 e8 G) A, I: A8 P8 N
0 L- H% C/ h# e5 x, y% YTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。中國籠絡周邊小國 ( s2 F1 U. b4 k( Q公仔箱論壇中南海如何化解新美帝的空前攻勢？萬變不離其宗。北京早做好兩手準備。一是警告「反華包圍圈」的弱小成員，包括菲律賓與越南等，解放軍很可能會主動出擊，殺雞儆猴。官方《環球時報》近數星期連續發表了多篇殺氣騰騰的鴻文。例如題為〈東亞離海上衝突越走越近了〉的社論聲稱「中國不能只會談判，必要時應當『殺一儆百』」。另一篇評論則指出「越、馬、菲在南沙已形成實際佔領的情況下，我們應更加主動，強化實際佔領和控制」云云。同時，北京盡量鞏固中國與東盟十國的自由貿易區，一方面抗衡ＴＰＰ，另一方面北京通過在越南、菲律賓、馬來西亞與印尼等國家的投資與貿易，用經濟實惠來籠絡這些小國，勸告他們不要落入老美的「圈套」。公仔箱論壇' j2 b) g5 ^( [5 R3 [
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美國雖然國力大不如前，但畢竟是亞太地區的老大哥，美國的疲弱經濟使奧巴馬明年連任選戰亮起紅燈，但假如這位「太平洋總統」成功地在亞太地區一洗美國的頹氣，並一舉壓低中國巨龍的氣燄的話，對奧巴馬在國內外的聲譽大有幫助！看來中美惡鬥將好戲連場作者: norman.ho 時間: 2011-11-15 09:03 AM
Hey felicity, this is an extract from the Sydney Morning Herald today,$ W% x! _; N9 M( M* q. d- h( n2 o. c1 h
7 S. Z9 c6 ?9 q6 A0 ` r* B7 f; }TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。No reason to get even closer to Uncle Sam/ p- s- h) v+ Y ]( p) f9 p1 ]
November 15, 2011. Political editor Peter Harcher. " M3 w8 p% Q# ]# M公仔箱論壇公仔箱論壇" N, u8 H1 u+ |& @
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....... , ?% \9 u1 r- A4 X& ~0 W. _# [5.39.217.76But the US trade and currency agenda with China is another matter altogether. The wise and far-sighted US policy for the past couple of decades was to work hard to bring China into the global rules-based system. Rather than having a rising giant outside the system breaking the rules, Washington wanted China in the system, playing by the rules.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 M# d! B$ q+ h3 o7 m/ _
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It worked. China signed up to, among other things, the World Trade Organisation. But now the Obama administration is seeking to shift the ground rules, moving the goalposts.! `6 K/ P' p0 \ M4 G
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A bizarre contrast presented itself in Hawaii at the APEC gathering at the weekend - the Chinese President, Hu Jintao, argued world trade agreements should be based on the global WTO system, while the US president recruited other countries, including Australia, for his little regional trade sub-group, the Trans-Pacific Partnership. 9 F$ H s( M% n: O: }, qTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 1 K# `2 `( a- ]* B3 g4 w公仔箱論壇The WTO's latest round of negotiations is moribund and the US should be reviving it. Instead, it is rounding up the TPP countries that take all of 6 per cent of US exports. It's insignificant as a trade bloc.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: L; @( o2 c; j; M; K( G& l
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It's a posse to get China, which is not a member. "It's all about China," says an American trade expert, Bruce Stokes, of the German Marshall Fund in Washington. "The White House is hoping that if this thing gets big enough, China will one day want to join. The hidden agenda is that they will only admit it if China accepts a high standard of policing for its state-owned enterprises." & B0 i$ u( s' c! Ftvb now,tvbnow,bttvb 9 H4 Q4 B g3 s% IAustralia signed up to the TPP in the Bush years; it's a done deal. But Canberra should not sign up to the next US agenda item, which is to threaten China over its managed currency, accusing China of currency manipulation to win unfair export advantage. 9 p0 m/ d5 p1 S( qTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb x2 p9 ^8 d$ W; N5 A
The global rules-based system in no way bans countries from pegging or managing exchange rates. Indeed, the US was the centrepiece of the global fixed exchange rate system until the early 1970s./ l5 T, P2 ?0 L7 @" x* r% F6 l
; k \- v6 `( Ztvb now,tvbnow,bttvbAnd the US has not stopped manipulating its currency; it's just got subtler. One of the aims of the US Federal Reserve in flooding the world with $US1.8 trillion in US dollars in the past three years is to devalue the currency. It's devaluation by hyperliquidity.5 W4 [% Z o! z+ w3 Y
9 `0 J* H+ h4 d2 }9 ztvb now,tvbnow,bttvbBeijing has allowed the renminbi to appreciate by 30 per cent in recent years against the US dollar. This has solved none of America's problems. The US campaign against China's currency policy is misguided. Australia has remained aloof so far and should remain so, even under the hypnotic power of the high-beam smile of a US president in person.公仔箱論壇5 _% j; v' N s2 _: _! H
5 t2 f: W1 m# c+ lIn strategic and military matters and trade and currency matters alike, the world has a deep interest in keeping China in the global rules-based system. If the Americans occasionally lose sight of this in the economic realm, Australia should not abet its lapses. We are an ally, not an accomplice. 作者: jcar168 時間: 2011-11-15 09:47 AM
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