本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-2-3 09:37 AM 編輯 TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。+ J, A* V$ Z8 M6 ~
. M6 c9 m7 f! ~( y Beyond Mubark3 D W' a6 q# O) T9 n
公仔箱論壇9 A% {, Q* v$ v
The New York Times 5.39.217.76$ i1 v) D6 X7 ? Z
. _# d1 D9 _' r( F9 s& S _ _tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbThe announcement from President Hosni Mubarak of Egypt that he would not run for re-election was welcome, if he means it, but it was unlikely to be enough. It is up to the Egyptian people to decide. But as a proud nationalist, Mr. Mubarak can best contribute to Egypt’s stability and future by stepping aside and letting an interim government takeover until truly free elections can be held. ) P4 u g- @ J2 l: `% ] 4 w5 a3 @7 q! \Mr. Mubarak spoke after President Obama’s special envoy urged him not to run again. On Tuesday evening, Mr. Obama said that he had told the Egyptian leader that “an orderly transition must be meaningful, it must be peaceful, and it must begin now.” That should be a clear warning to Mr. Mubarak that his time has passed. / `5 s0 h- f( o: ]On Tuesday, the eighth day of demonstrations, hundreds of thousands went to Liberation Square in Cairo to demand Mr. Mubarak’s ouster. The protests were the largest and most diverse so far. tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb6 J# ]# c' T- Y' @- P2 R
The demonstration was peaceful. The army had announced that it would not use force, a decision Mr. Obama praised on Tuesday night. Egyptians have expressed their gratitude, but the generals should not misread that enthusiasm. Egypt needs a real democracy, not another strongman. Washington,which provides $1.5 billion in military aid annually, should be sending that message to the army’s leaders. % N- [" u2 _* a, @tvb now,tvbnow,bttvbPresidential elections are scheduled for September. We are skeptical they can be credible with Mr. Mubarak even nominally in charge. Whatever happens incoming days, the Egyptian government and the opposition will need to work together to create conditions for a fair vote. TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 G( E/ Z5 d$ t% g$ q; C' J
The government must start by lifting the blackout on Internet and cellphone service. The 30-year-old state of emergency that has allowed it to detain and censor all critics must end. Egypt will need a truly independent electoral commission and international monitors to ensure an honest vote. All participants will have to agree to abide by the final results. % ^4 }9 w* n5 O! D( otvb now,tvbnow,bttvbThis is made far more complicated by the fact that Egypt has few opposition groups — the result of Mr. Mubarak’s 30 years of authoritarian rule. The best organized is the banned Muslim Brotherhood.Mohamed El Baradei, the former top nuclear inspector for the United Nations and a Nobel laureate, is eager to lead. 6 U' d* g" G0 e* n/ C* l# r* w3 t1 Z2 x
Those with political ambitions must quickly explain their vision for Egypt— beyond ousting Mr. Mubarak. What rights would they guarantee in law? Will the Coptic Christian minority be protected and have a voice in their country? Will there be freedom of access to the Suez Canal? Will the government abide by the 1979 peace treaty with Israel?* l- B( Y/ e. l
Critics here and in Egypt have complained that President Obama has been too slow to cut his ties with Mr.Mubarak. Balancing national security concerns against moral responsibilities is never pretty. The United States has an important role in encouraging a swift and peaceful transition. President Obama is right to take pains to avoid any impression that Washington is orchestrating events. 公仔箱論壇* c8 q( t( T" X8 x) D8 r7 h3 l4 l
The Iranian revolution is seared in our memories. There are no guarantees that Egypt’s next government will be as friendly to Washington as this one. And no guarantee that it will treat its own people any better. But Mr. Mubarak’s efforts to hold on to power, at all costs, will lead to more instability and fury. If Egypt devolves into chaos, it will feed extremism throughout the region.作者: felicity2010 時間: 2011-2-3 09:38 AM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2011-2-3 09:43 AM 編輯 TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。9 n: n& f$ d5 t( b5 @9 E
tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb3 r2 r9 H& T9 K: m/ C0 [
Egypt protests: Mubarak shows his dark sideTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。* E7 g m0 `& K) Z5 }
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。' }3 P4 J$ ?1 b3 } P, }' u7 x4 g
By Simon Tisdall Guardian " q7 \, C9 z- [, Y5.39.217.767 T2 V, z5 F2 `5 |& k% }
Hosni Mubarak launched his counter-revolution today, sending waves of armed thugs to do battle with pro-democracy demonstrators in Cairo and other cities. The attacks, reportedly involving plainclothes police and vigilantes as well as pro-regime citizens, appeared to be carefully co-ordinated and timed. And the army, which only days earlier had sworn to protect "legitimate" rights of protesters, stood back and watched as the blood flowed.( _# h3 n2 W; R
This ugly turn of events should come as no surprise. What is unusual is that the regime tolerated such levels of unrest for nearly a week.* z; A/ ~: Y1 Z' P
Mubarak was never quite a dictator in the Saddam Hussein or Robert Mugabe mould. His rule was more akin to the semi-enlightened despotism of an18th-century European monarch. But at bottom, it always depended on coercion and force. Today, the pretence of reasonableness was torn away. His dark side showed for all to see. % T9 l4 S* x/ W* W' w* G. K% C% Y公仔箱論壇Mubarak's speech to the nation on Tuesday night was widely misinterpreted.The president was, by turns, angry, defiant and unrepentant. He offered no apologies, proposed no new initiatives, gave no promise that his son Gamal would not succeed him, and instead lectured Egyptians on the importance of order and stability (which he alone could assure). : N0 {2 n: @8 {- u9 r$ xHe appeared not to have learned anything from the past week. And his one"concession" – that he would not seek re-election – was no concession at all. After all, he had never said he would.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb+ e1 ~" c% f, x) s
This was not the performance of a defeated man. Mubarak may be down but he's not out. And judging by today's events in Tahrir Square, he and the military-dominated clique around him clearly feel they have done enough, for now, to get the Americans off their backs, flex their still considerable muscle, and reclaim the streets for the regime. All the talk about reform and elections and negotiations can wait, whatever Barack Obama says.: t6 J, N8 E+ h8 g7 ?
Today's immediate message to the people from an unvanquished, still vicious regime: it's over – go home, or else. * \! i1 u; M6 x0 x* T: I5 Q0 Ztvb now,tvbnow,bttvbThere's a good to middling chance the counter-revolution strategy will work,given time. "Imagine yourself as Hosni Mubarak, master of Egypt for nearly 30 years. You're old, unwell, detested and addicted to power," wrote Wall Street Journal columnist Bret Stephens. 2 p3 k6 k; r- w# z( {5.39.217.76"You could have orchestrated a graceful exit by promising to preside over free and fair presidential elections later this year – elections in which the Mubarak name would not be on the ballot. Instead you gambled that you could ride out the protests and hold on. It's a pretty good gamble ..."& P$ O, Y8 A# ^; P% D
Reasons for believing Mubarak can not only survive the next eight months but also exert decisive, possibly fatally obstructive influence over Egypt's new direction are plentiful. As matters stand now, the regime is unreconstructed, the opposition is split, and the Americans are undecided.Despite his insistence on a swift, orderly transition, Obama has not withdrawn his personal support. In Brussels today, the EU also declined to demand Mubarak's immediate resignation. David Cameron said reforms must be implemented faster. : ]9 ~( [3 X$ ?5 o7 c4 ~+ @5.39.217.76All of them got a dusty brush-off. In an official statement, the Egyptian foreign ministry, still led by an old Mubarak crony, Ahmed Aboul Gheit,rejected US and European calls for the transition to start now. Calls from"foreign parties" were "aimed to incite the internal situation,"it said. In other words: get lost. ' Q6 t0 g' R0 Z7 T* l& @+ uTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Mubarak and his close confidant and deputy, Omar Suleiman, have more cards to play as they foment a backlash and seek to regain control. As in the past,they can play on Israeli and American fears of an Islamist takeover. They can point out just how disastrous it might be if a new government tore up Egypt's peace treaty with Israel. 4 g9 V1 Y9 \% Q: hThe opposition leader, Mohamed ElBaradei can easily be portrayed as untrustworthy.In fact, such a campaign is already under way. The Americans, for example,suspected him of pro-Iranian bias when he headed the UN's nuclear watchdog –and believe, too, that he is far too cosy with Turkey's neo-Islamist leaders.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。8 l& O+ S! u# C
As he tries to reassert his primacy, Mubarak can rely on the conservative Arab states of the Gulf, Saudi Arabia,Libya and Algeria,and on any number of African governments that have no wish to encourage popular revolution. Even old enemy Iranis privately ambivalent on this score. 1 n( j4 I' f4 Z( {. C$ o' ~7 v: rHe can offer negotiations to the opposition and hope to gain advantage from their refusal, so far, to participate. And if all this fails, the regime canal ways let loose its thugs and hooligans, just to emphasise that without state-imposed order, only chaos, not democracy, reigns.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 Q' a0 i) ?) ? b
Mubarak's counter-revolution is still a long shot. Too much has changed in Egypt for it ever to go back the way things were. But today saw the beginning of anew stage in a complex internal struggle whose ultimate outcome remains deeply uncertain.
