9 O9 _) d3 ~* h+ K公仔箱論壇在理方面，釣魚島的主權爭議一直相持不下，一九七一年六月十七日，日美簽訂歸還沖繩協定，釣魚島被一併劃入「歸還區域」交給日本，中國外交部隨即在同年十二月三十日發表聲明，譴責美日兩國，並強調協議不能改變中國對釣魚島的領土主權；自此之後，中日在此議題上時起紛爭，但兩國政府始終保持「動口不動手」，避免事件觸發衝突，九月八日時任日本官房長官的仙谷由人在事發時強調中日雙方應避免漁船事件升級，日本國內也要冷靜對待這一事件，表面看來，日方表現出冷靜理性的一面，可是結果並非如此—不合法拘押在先，更蠻不講理繼續調查延長拘押期，這種姿態試問又怎能令事件降溫？TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。2 Y; P" U) O& [1 b) `, U9 n
5.39.217.76) I% z _, ]6 w& E$ D$ e
中國已經向日方提出反擊，終止了雙方的高層接觸，事態發展下去，中日有沒有一戰的可能？《紐約時報》Nicholas Kristof 的文章最有參考價值—美國並沒有同意釣魚台一定是日本的，怎會因此而替日本打仗！沒有美國撑腰，熱戰是打不起來的，但看來北京要提出更強硬的姿態，方能平息因日方挑釁而激起的反日情緒。作者: felicity2010 時間: 2010-9-20 12:57 PM
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2010-9-20 01:03 PM 編輯 2 ]# u" i! V& X公仔箱論壇 & s( N+ D2 d# I$ `- g- u b1 I8 Qtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbLook Out for the Diaoyu Islands By NICHOLAS KRISTOF . R, {! |$ O+ J5 x3 }1 ?2 Y9 R) ]5.39.217.76September 10, 2010, 6:07 pm ' e$ m: v. I8 d" [. F; G& jTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。公仔箱論壇+ O' h; b# y7 Z1 o! w! \% b+ @
Tensions have erupted over some barren rocks in the Pacific that you may never have heard of, but stay tuned – this is a boundary dispute that could get ugly and some day have far-reaching consequences for China, Japan, Taiwan and the United States. The islands in question are called the Senkaku chain by Japan,the Diaoyu islands by China,and the Diaoyutai by Taiwan.All three claim the islands, which are really just five islets and three barren rocks northeast of Taiwan,200 miles off the Chinese coast. The latest confrontation occurred when a Chinese fishing boat collided with two Japanese naval vessels trying to intercept it near the islands. The Japanese detained the Chinese captain for questioning and the two countries have been exchanging indignant protests.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb8 D2 w/ T7 f" I
1 a# O6 _ X3 n4 E: u: c" g( j0 Gtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbThe reason to worry is that nationalists in both China and Taiwan see the islands as unquestionably theirs and think that their government has been weak in asserting this authority. So far,wiser heads have generally prevailed on each side, but at some point a weakened Chinese leader might try to gain legitimacy with the public by pushing the issue and recovering the islands. It would be a dangerous game and would have a disastrous impact on China-Japan relations, but if successful it would raise the popularity of the Chinese government and would also be a way of putting pressure on Taiwan. 6 D/ V P; C- A/ M/ I0 _; Ptvb now,tvbnow,bttvbTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。$ Q! L$ j4 ?$ A( _1 h- | |
The other problem is that, technically, the U.S.would be obliged to bail Japan out if there were a fight over the Senkakus. The U.S. doesn’t take a position on who owns the islands, but the Japan-U.S. security treaty specifies that the U.S. will help defend areas that Japan administers. And in 1972, when the U.S.handed Okinawa back to Japan,it agreed that Japan should administer the Senkakus. So we’re in the absurd position of being committed to help Japan fight a war over islands, even though we don’t agree that they are necessarily Japanese. 3 Q8 y6 {. s: P+ W z4 \ + p& E. i' h4 B8 q3 K5 b0 \0 Y5.39.217.76In reality, of course, there is zero chance that the U.S. will honor its treaty obligation over a few barren rocks.We’re not going to risk a nuclear confrontation with China over some islands that may well be China’s. But if we don’t help, our security relationship with Japan will be stretched to the breaking point.公仔箱論壇- ~' M/ R+ K* R' V9 c) P* Z
So which country has a better claim to the islands?My feeling is that it’s China, although the answer isn’t clear cut. Chinese navigational records show the islands as Chinese for many centuries, and a 1783Japanese map shows them as Chinese as well. Japan purported to “discover” the islands only in 1884 and annexed them only in 1895when it also grabbed Taiwan.(You can also make a case that they are terra nullis, belonging to no nation.)tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb8 m, Z. g! e/ u0 V% ~' p
5.39.217.76- n& V8 s0 o( u8 C
The best approach would be for China and Japan to agree to refer the dispute to the International Court of Justice, but realistically that won’t happen. And since some believe that the area is rich with oil and gas reserves, the claims from each side have become more insistent. As Chinese nationalism grows, as China’s navy and ability to project power in the ocean gains, we could see some military jostling over the islands. You read it here first.
