本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-3-19 10:22 AM 編輯 tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb: i' a) b0 J% ^- w2 o4 w
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Bobo Lo: Crimea’s Sudeten Crisis 0 [* J- F7 S6 H* c- A5.39.217.765 {/ H5 G8 s% L! h2 N7 y" n) O$ A
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2 @/ m: n9 i, U, H! Z& XLONDON – With Crimea voting for secession,the upheaval in Ukraine is fueling an increasingly charged atmosphere between Russia and the tandem of the United States and the European Union. Are American and European leaders being cast in a Russian remake of the 1938 Sudeten crisis?TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。) O8 Q* J1 m4 [( _6 `
/ s# S5 ]( }$ F( N公仔箱論壇Immediately after Nazi Germany’s annexation of Austria, Adolf Hitler turned his attention to the ethnic Germans living in Czechoslovakia’s Sudetenland. First, he demanded the Sudetenland’s cession to Germany, gaining relatively easy agreement from British Prime Minister Neville Chamberlain and his French counterpart Édouard Daladier. I( G6 }$ i' B: O. f; ~) }, `
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Hitler then immediately raised his demands to include German military occupation of the area. Deeming the issue “a quarrel in a faraway country between people of whom we know nothing,” and thus not worth defying Hitler over, Chamberlain and Daladier accepted the occupation by signing the Munich Agreement. In doing so, they strengthened Germany considerably and emboldened Hitler – with catastrophic consequences.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。$ q& [* @1 u% `0 o) p. N
, N) Y! B/ }. \' ^To be sure, Russian President Vladimir Putin is not Hitler, Russia is not Nazi Germany (or the Soviet Union, for that matter), and the world does not face the same apocalyptic scenario that unfolded in 1939. Nonetheless, there are some important parallels between the Sudeten and Crimean crises.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。$ p0 H! q, M0 p8 d+ y. V& l2 S4 r3 C
; H% n" J9 X2 W+ O' U6 e) V3 Q0 c0 @5 j( ]5.39.217.76The most obvious is the presence of an expatriate majority in the occupied area. Russians comprise nearly 60% of Crimea’s two million inhabitants, and many are more closely connected to their “mother” country than to Ukraine. Likewise,the three million Sudeten Germans felt much greater loyalty to Germany than to Czechoslovakia, and an overwhelming majority embraced their incorporation into the Third Reich. 5 U! I# Y7 T0 u% s$ T * p) b' J' Z8 |: B8 Y M! O公仔箱論壇Indeed, Putin’s pretext for occupation and annexation – to protect the local population – is the same as Hitler’s. Until recently, Putin showed little interest in Crimean affairs, beyond renewing the lease on the Black Sea Fleet’s base in Sevastopol. But, since the Ukrainian revolution, the local Russian population’s alleged vulnerability to “fascists”has become an emblematic issue – and an excuse for Russian military intervention. Hitler employed a similar pretext in demanding the Sudetenland’s transfer from Czechoslovakia. 6 R6 V' @7 }1 d/ q6 sTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。( }* i7 {; [6 i+ A# S
Putin has something else in common with Hitler: the view that the country he is occupying is somehow “unnatural.”Although Putin has not formally challenged Ukraine’s independence, he has never hidden his view that it is not a “real country,” referring to it as part of the“Russian world.” Similarly, for Hitler, Czechoslovakia was an unnatural conglomeration of disparate nations and regions. ) J# b8 _% @( O, R公仔箱論壇0 w* r! _7 U- ]# D, s3 c
Hitler sought to destroy Czechoslovakia. Six months after hiving off the Sudetenland, he abrogated the Munich Agreement by occupying all of Bohemia and Moravia and turning the Czech lands into a German protectorate, while installing a puppet regime in a nominally independent Slovakia. If Putin has similar designs, he would begin with Crimea’s annexation– now seemingly a done deal – followed by a direct military presence in eastern Ukraine (where Russian troops are massing at the border), and possibly some kind of partition in the longer term. / S& s7 J: R7 A# R, I- u! PTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。" k6 I; t: L( v/ ?9 A
Of course, like Hitler, Putin is not concerned only – or even especially – with the occupied area. Instead, he is seeking to project power farther afield. Putin has long used national resurgence – in particular, the idea of Russia as an independent global actor with its own “world” – to legitimize his rule. According to this vision,Ukraine must be strategically aligned with Russia, and its sovereignty must be limited.+ H! I. T$ w ?7 S' D
1 X- G8 O. x/ c6 h' f# @3 `For his part, Hitler considered an independent, democratic Czechoslovakia to be a security threat, while eyeing its considerable industrial assets. But the Sudetenland’s annexation was, first and foremost, aimed at helping to restore Germany’s “great power” status. & M4 \/ |5 P8 ?5 r! u3 W$ `9 G5 e/ O7 h& N6 Y
There are also striking similarities between Western leaders’ responses to the two crises – namely, their reluctance to take decisive action. Indeed, they seem unwilling to back up their warnings of“costs” and “consequences” with meaningful measures like asset freezes, trade sanctions, and travel restrictions – reinforcing Putin’s belief that they will continue to choose their relationships with Russia over protecting Ukraine’s territorial integrity. This timidity recalls British and French policy in 1938,when the Sudetenland – and later Czechoslovakia – was sacrificed for a short-lived “peace in our time.”tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb, L/ X7 F) [, J6 l+ k4 X4 Z) W3 F
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What lessons can be drawn from the comparison between the Crimean and Sudeten crises? First, any dialogue with Putin will be fruitless, unless Western leaders take a decisive approach that is shaped by concrete objectives, not bogus “strategic partnerships.” Conversely,name-calling – like US President Barack Obama’s accusation that Russia is “on the wrong side of history” – is pointless./ B5 e0 r/ H: h9 D) z1 q
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The West should stop reacting to Putin with“shock and awe” – shock that he can act with such seeming impunity, and awe at his perceived tactical brilliance. Europe and the US have vastly greater influence and resources than Russia, with its atrophied political system and exhausted economic model. What they lack is the willingness to accept the economic and political costs of defending the values that they claim to uphold. : Y- T b1 `3 P* J% U# uTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 6 i0 a# Z; {% I1 e2 _Finally, Western leaders must recognize that appeasement cannot ensure peace and stability in Europe – not even under the fig leaf of “engagement.” When dealing with a leader whose credo is defined by the notion that “the weak get beaten,” Western governments must demonstrate their resolve, without sacrificing flexibility. Only on this basis can the crisis in Ukraine be addressed without fundamentally compromising transatlantic security. 3 t' r7 k: a" qtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb ) X3 R( |2 `6 e4 M3 Dtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbBobo Lo is a specialist in Russian foreign policy at Chatham House $ r0 T& e; h) s& f公仔箱論壇% ?% k5 V' p! P4 H2 B3 Y+ a. H9 y
* c- A' O7 K) q' t9 e% u公仔箱論壇Hitler and Chamberlain: The Munich Crisis 1938TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。' T/ ~& z, l) @- S5 e& ]- }# M
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本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-3-19 10:40 AM 編輯 0 O' I# ~& ~' N* s" e: r+ x# s5 O* G! ]TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 " l0 z" E9 B# j. N3 [. G公仔箱論壇The Economist explains: T) j6 n, Q* u5 ~; m, ?) {
5 s' m% k# Q& Y- X: w" |5.39.217.76What the original Crimean war was all about " F' Q$ \0 k( H- S% l4 h3 F 4 P% a' U3 ~+ `$ D$ T4 ptvb now,tvbnow,bttvb3 V2 K% V, Q0 P: v& R% X# T
1 y% ~% A2 R* OTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。ON MARCH 16th Crimeans voted in a deeply flawed referendum to secede from Ukraine and join Russia. The crisis on the peninsula has pitted Russia against America and the EU, in the worst diplomatic spat in Europe since the cold war. But it is not the first time that Crimea, on the edge of the Black Sea, has been contested by Russia and the West. On March28th 1854—160 years ago this month—Britain, the superpower of the day,declared war on Russia. The resulting conflict was mainly fought in Crimea as British forces and their allies laid siege to the main Russian naval base in the Black Sea at Sebastopol. What was the original Crimean war all about?" \$ h+ C. g, W, ]# \4 e
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It began against a backdrop of Russian expansionism as the Ottoman Empire declined. The spark was a religious dispute over who should be the guardian of the Ottoman Empire’s Christian minority,especially in the Holy Land: Orthodox Russia or Catholic France. Napoleon III sent his best ship, Charlemagne, to the Black Sea to defend France’s claim. That, together with aggressive diplomatic and financial inducements, sharpened the minds of Ottoman leaders, who declared in favour of France.Russia responded by invading the Ottoman-controlled territories of Moldavia and Wallachia (roughly, parts of modern day Moldova and Romania) and sinking the Ottoman fleet at the Battle of Sinope in 1853. That inflamed public opinion in Britain and France, which feared that Russian domination in the Black Sea region would threaten their trade routes to India via Egypt and the eastern Mediterranean. After some diplomatic dithering, which misled Russia into believing that it could continue its aggression against the Ottomans without consequences, Britain and France declared war in March 1854. The Kingdom of Sardinia-Piedmont (which later became Italy) joined in the war against Russia the next year. / \6 R4 o( P% ^- b5.39.217.76tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb& A3 R1 t, [0 A. @( `: @
Although Britain and its allies eventually won the war in 1856, the conflict was disastrously planned and poorly executed.Invasion fleets from Britain and France set off ill-prepared; military planning was so bad that their commanders had not yet decided which part of the Black Sea they were heading for. When they landed in Crimea, military disasters followed, including the famous charge of the light brigade, in which vulnerable British cavalry attacked Russian artillery head-on during the Battle of Balaclava. Support services such as care for the wounded were disorganised. Four times as many British soldiers died of disease during the conflict as in combat. In the end, it took a year-long siege to take the naval base at Sebastopol.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, |% R2 X, u. g# l
6 ^& [1 Z! V1 RTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Historians blame the mistakes that led to the war on a lack of strategic planning, in diplomatic or military terms, on the part of Britain and France. Similar accusations have been levied at the cautious steps taken so far by America and the EU. But although some commentators have attempted to draw comparisons between that conflict and the current crisis in the Crimea, this time it does not yet look as if things are going the same way. Modern America and 19th-century Britain, though the dominant superpowers of their days, are worlds apart in terms of diplomatic strategy. But few, even in the 1850s, would have thought Russia and the West would still be contesting the same small peninsula of land a century and a half later. If history does not repeat itself, it has a strange way of rhyming. 5 a* ?! ?8 ]& F- O0 b, }tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb , ~* C: v y/ F ? ' d. x" v3 c% r. [, N! e1 C* S* jTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。
We want to be free from a dictatorship. We want to be free from the politicians who work only for themselves, who are ready to shoot, to beat, to injure people, just for saving their money, just for saving their houses, just to saving their power.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb& ^+ `6 W: T8 Z- X
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We are civilized people, but our government are barbarians. That's not a soviet union. We want our courts not to be corrupted. We want to be free. . \. _" N7 i5 W9 m' i, i stvb now,tvbnow,bttvb " A* r* d* Y: ]; @( zTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。
過去兩日，烏克蘭首都基輔獨立廣場的示威者遭到當局鎮壓，衝突造成至少26人死亡，已持續3個月的烏克蘭反政府示威再次登上國際新聞頭條。與此同時，一段拍攝於示威現場的影片在網絡廣泛流傳，片中一名基輔女示威者向世人解釋烏克蘭人為何不畏當權者的暴行，堅持示威，並呼籲國際社會聲援。 9 [" p7 V3 ?3 s / x. z2 d F5 o$ B, D5.39.217.76片段上載於本月10日，製作者Ben Moses自去年12月起在基輔拍攝紀錄片，拍下這位女示威者的心聲並上載至YouTube，點擊率現逾200萬。- B2 E+ n6 z w1 Y& }$ X6 `+ B
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旅居波蘭的台灣作家林蔚昀，將少女的說辭翻譯成中文，並邀請網民轉發。 : c4 _9 S$ U! ]7 V
我是烏克蘭人tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb; d, s! D i' \' `
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我是烏克蘭人，在基輔出生長大。現在我在獨立廣場上，在我城市的中心。我想讓你們知道，為什麼來自全國的好幾千人，都走上了街頭。只有一個理由：我們想要脫離獨裁。我們想要脫離那些只為自己利益著想的政治人物，那些人開槍、毆打、傷害人民，只為了保住他們的錢，他們的房子，他們的權力。在這裡抗爭的人們有尊嚴、有勇氣，我希望他們有一份正常的生活。& S/ I% w% k; K% p
I am a Ukrainian, the native of Kiev. And now I am on Maidan, on the central part of my city. I want you to know why thousands of people all over my country are on the streets. There is only one reason: We want to be free from a dictatorship. We want to be free from the politicians who work only for themselves, who are ready to shoot, to beat, to injure people, just for saving their money, just for saving their houses, just to saving their power.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb t {2 U+ q, c- U
* J/ @7 |, }' o- E" }0 vI want these people who are here, who have dignity, who are brave, I want them to lead a normal life. We are civilized people, but our government are barbarians. That's not a soviet union. We want our courts not to be corrupted. We want to be free. ) { W$ \0 Z* d" i$ A- y . ] G3 @, C: d4 r9 g$ b% d3 yI know that maybe tomorrow we'll have no phone, no internet connection, and we will be alone here. And maybe police men will murder us, one after another, when it will be dark here. 3 i9 }' v+ M0 p' W* q+ m TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。8 P7 B! z/ Q: `) ^2 \
That's why I ask you now to help us. We have this freedom inside our hearts. We have this freedom in our minds. And now I ask you to build this freedom in our country. 6 b* u3 \) U& D
+ Y* o. g/ A; L9 r0 lTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。You can help us only by telling this story to your friends, only by sharing this video. Please share, share it. Speak to your friends, speak to your family, speak to your government, and show that you support us. $ G- A. ~/ p1 c: b% L3 N
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克里米亞問題令美俄或陷「冷戰第二階段」 % d. F) t n, U% ?/ Q3 f. H- p! q1 A( C TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。% b1 b- v, K( I. x1 v. p6 f* @
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《852郵報》報道，假若俄羅斯與烏克蘭就克里米亞的爭持惡化，或將會引發新一場的東西冷戰思維。事實上，隨著克里米亞公投獨立，加入俄羅斯聯邦，隨即觸動美歐的神經。這場冷戰結束後最大的政治危機，勢將再次引發西方資本主義陣營思考其戰略重心。5.39.217.76# B. u( U' Z+ @& h
% P' D5 [/ A# ^! e9 B2 |& T俄羅斯與克里米亞簽署加入俄羅斯聯邦條約後，全國約有60萬人集會，而在莫斯科紅場當晚亦有12萬民眾集會慶祝。這次克里米亞的獨立，除了讓烏克蘭鄰近地區響起警號外，亦令國際社會紛紛譴責，認為俄羅斯總統普京正蠢蠢欲動，希望藉著收復烏克蘭及克里米亞這些前蘇聯地區，能夠重返昔日的光輝。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。5 A9 V) ~9 u" u& Z
& _/ K; W- s% K) @* ~* `公仔箱論壇俄羅斯籌碼令歐美顧忌5.39.217.76; O4 G9 q2 ~! q- g0 y
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不過，美國總統奧巴馬隨即致電普京，表明公投違反烏克蘭憲法；歐盟亦指公投不合法，並對俄羅斯實施制裁。但俄羅斯重申，公投合法，亦符合民眾意願。面對雙方的分歧擴大，有分析認為制裁未夠深入，加上俄羅斯對歐美的依賴日漸減少，是以俄羅斯有足夠籌碼以一敵眾。據指俄羅斯早前表明，一旦受到制裁，會拋售手上的美元，亦不會償還美國銀行的貸款，勢將令美元大幅貶值，重挫美國經濟。5.39.217.76% y+ Q( {. ]+ D7 ]$ J( ^
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由是之故，歐美現階段暫未敢對俄方輕舉妄動，只以一般制裁手段應對，而俄方亦怕其擴張會令區內局勢緊張，最終反而影響自己。兩者都是螳螂捕蟬，黃雀在後，將會是一場國際均勢的角力。英國外交大臣夏偉林亦承認，歐洲正處於與俄羅斯爆發「新冷戰」的邊緣，危機可能持續數年，而俄羅斯將要付出沉重代價。而事實是否如此？% ~4 Z! o _+ v' t1 R @$ U" A
9 w! S* X, l6 G公仔箱論壇是否陷「新冷戰」人言人殊5.39.217.76" F* j! Y% Y+ K: d/ ^+ J6 _$ o3 ?. z
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浸會大學政治及國際關係學系助理教授陳家洛向本報表示，所謂的「新冷戰」是個很模糊的說法，目前並沒有學者定義及釐清這個觀點。他認為如果要說新冷戰，那麼就必須要回歸冷戰思維。冷戰是一種「你死我亡」的狀態，這種情況下將出現軍備競賽，而且當時美蘇兩大陣營雙方的政治、經濟獨立，是以互相可以不聞不問。不過環觀現今克里米亞的局勢，礙於地緣政治的關係，始終沒有一個國家能夠完全獨立自主；俄羅斯與歐盟的關係亦非常親密。在這種情況下，俄羅斯的經濟仍然依賴歐洲共同體，而歐洲亦需要俄羅斯供應的天然氣。在這種互利共生的情況下，以往的冷戰於此並不成立，而現在可以見到的，就只有凍結資產、限制入境等制裁措施，因此新冷戰的論調亦因欠缺定義，無從立足。他補充，烏克蘭的出路是歐盟招攬烏克蘭加入，否則國內佔多數的親歐份子，在俄羅斯的干預下，將「十分可憐」。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。/ o/ Q; _9 J! }. f' F
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另外，香港大學社會科學系講師丘梓勤亦就「新冷戰」的問題進行分析。他指出，不應該以新冷戰來解讀現在克里米亞的局勢，而應該說它是「冷戰第二階段」。他認為冷戰一直沒有結束，只是中途隨著蘇聯解體暫告一段落，然而在今次烏克蘭與克里米亞事件中，又重新將東西對壘陣營復甦起來。丘梓勤坦言，西方資本主義陣營長期佔據歐洲，並一直向東蠶食，是以俄羅斯是在一個弱勢狀態。普京這次藉收復克里米亞，向外界展示「光復蘇聯」的雄心，不過在形勢上可說是處於下風，因為對俄羅斯來說，最好是能夠令烏克蘭回歸。可是普京這次打不響其如意算盤，修復克里米亞，是「跌落地拿返渣沙」的退而求其次；此舉極度危險，除了受到國際社會制裁外，他可能面對的代價是，激起不少前蘇聯加盟國的反俄勢力，令俄羅斯更加孤立。 5 T' A" ^0 Q: z$ o! z. u$ |; P! f8 a
（英國《每日電訊報》圖片）
The Economist : Russia’s annexation of Crimea and the return of history 公仔箱論壇9 `- t# L0 p. {
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ON MARCH 18th Russia annexed Crimea, marking the first time the country expanded its borders since the cold war. Yet it has form. The 20th century was a period of ever-changing national boundaries,affiliations and spheres of influence. At the start of the second world war,the then Soviet Union’s territory extended into modern-day Belarus and Ukraine,and included Crimea. By war’s end, the entirety of both countries became a part of the USSR, as well as the Baltic states. During the cold war, the iron curtain descended over Eastern Europe—and stayed there until the Soviet Union’s dissolution in 1991. The map of Europe remained unchanged in terms of Russian territory until this month. A quarter-century after the fall of the Berlin Wall, the hungry Russian bear is back. The following five maps show the troubled history of Russia and its neighbours. 0 k7 ~. }* F- E$ c4 v0 t2 m/ s. z6 T
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4 j" {, V" {3 ]/ K6 DTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。1938: In a period of balance-of-power politics, the Soviet Union’s territory does not extend far westward into Europe. TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。% ]( _! P3 s7 {4 A e- H6 Z 3 c# w7 u* n- f5 C公仔箱論壇1945: Following the second world war, the Soviet Union extended its control into modern day Ukraine, Moldova, Belarus and four Baltic states. 5 W1 p G( {( N$ ~6 L8 T TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。' [7 X( N+ \; j7 U# T 1949-89: During the cold war, the USSR’s sphere of influence extended over Eastern Europe, via the Warsaw Pact countries and a divided Germany. # W- s4 f0 w2 z& ETVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。公仔箱論壇, f( Q! e2 ?# ~; P0 R8 B' h 1991: After the fall of the Berlin Wall in 1989 led to the breakup of the Soviet Union in 1991, Russia’s territory was smaller than it was before the second world war.公仔箱論壇7 z/ d9 a, C; E' F0 { . X+ K# K! Y: p3 M# Utvb now,tvbnow,bttvb2014: Russia annexes the Ukrainian region of Crimea, after Russian troops invade and the area votes to secede from Ukraine. The vote and annexation is condemned internationally. h1 k1 J& N8 Y0 y; D
本帖最後由 felicity2010 於 2014-3-21 11:21 PM 編輯 8 {* J6 F) ~6 Z0 E
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Adam Michnik: The Russian Godfather* C! Z6 D, ]; X: Q5 ]. p
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WARSAW – Russian President Vladimir Putin is behaving like a Mafia boss. In invading, occupying, and finally annexing Crimea, he pointed Russia’s guns at Ukraine and said: your territorial sovereignty or your life. So far, extortion has worked – and Putin knows it.公仔箱論壇0 {( `4 L O: w) _' V! k
: z8 ]: V. N2 u1 B" Dtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbIndeed, in his speech announcing the annexation of Crimea, Putin spoke his mind: his regime fears no punishment and will do whatever it pleases. Crimea is just the first step toward realizing his dream of revived Russian greatness.公仔箱論壇* x: F2 }" X% C. D: }" s& V! R) ]
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His address in the Kremlin was a tissue of lies and manipulation, though a subtle analysis would be a waste of time. The simple fact is that the president of one of the world’s most powerful countries has embarked on a path of confrontation with the entire international community. His speech smacked of the fevered, paranoid world of Fyodor Dostoyevsky’s Demons, conjuring as it did a delusional alternative universe – a place that does not exist and has never existed. , Y6 b3 L/ E3 m$ w b5.39.217.76 1 I# `7 t* x0 G# h' J4 wtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbWhat does Kosovo, where the Albanians suffered persecution and ethnic cleansing, have in common with the situation in Crimea, whose people have never been oppressed by Ukrainians? What is the point in displaying open contempt for Ukraine’s government, parliament, and people?Why label Ukrainian authorities “fascist and anti-Semitic”? Crimean Tatars pay no heed to the fairy tales about fascists ruling Ukraine; they can still remember the brutal and murderous mass deportations of their parents and grandparents, ordered by Stalin and carried out by the NKVD. 7 E/ u7 F& V; X* f1 B# s公仔箱論壇 ; @, I4 q- J7 f公仔箱論壇In Putin’s mind, the whole world has discriminated against Russia for the last three centuries. Russia’s bloody despots – Catherine II, Nicholas I, or Stalin – apparently never discriminated against anyone. j4 @( g6 l" ?1 ^2 y/ P4 j
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Putin also warns that “you and we – the Russians and the Ukrainians – could lose Crimea completely.” Yet he fails to specify who – perhaps Poles and Lithuanians again? – are setting their sights on Sevastopol. $ y" g/ l x' S, ^0 d5.39.217.768 }5 J. M! N: U! ^
Russia could not, according to Putin, leave the people of Crimea “alone in their predicament.” These words prompt a sad smile; Leonid Brezhnev used precisely the same phrase in August 1968 to justify the Red Army’s intervention in Czechoslovakia to help beleaguered Communist hardliners there crush the Prague Spring reform movement. : ~! X, P) d: `" A2 f1 B3 h7 ~ & S8 `( E* Y! d5 w7 y: g/ m1 A“We want Ukraine to be a strong, sovereign, and independent country,” says Putin.Stalin said the same thing about Poland in 1945. Brave Russian democrats who have not yet been silenced have already remarked on the similarity between Putin’s appeal to ethnic solidarity in annexing Crimea and Hitler’s stance during the Anschluss and the Sudeten crisis in 1938.* g6 T! F7 ?8 M; C. p# ~
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This is the real end of history – the history of dreams about a world governed by democratic values and the market economy.Unless the democratic world understands that now is not the time for faith in diplomatic compromise, and that it must respond strongly enough to stop Putin’s imperial designs, events could follow a logic that is too dreadful to contemplate.It takes force to stop a thug, not sharp words or cosmetic sanctions.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb A' Z7 B, o1 H- B
( b6 x K8 l' Q- jtvb now,tvbnow,bttvbI commend and take pride in Poland’s prudent and determined policy and the attitude of its public, which do us great credit.But we must recognize that the best quarter-century in the last 400 years of Polish history is about to end before our very eyes. A time of tectonic shifts has begun. We must appreciate what we have managed to achieve – and learn to protect it.' m& _6 P6 Y* _- n3 [$ j
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Mafia bosses often meet an unhappy fate, and I do not think that Putin will fare much better in the end. Unfortunately, many people are likely to be hurt in the meantime, not least those who now support him. $ f/ M! `- O h. t' c5.39.217.76tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb+ t! B7 M, m/ z7 D% z Adam Michnik was one of the leaders of Solidarity and the founding editor of Gazeta Wyborcza. ' Y1 R9 Y3 c& [; A8 ytvb now,tvbnow,bttvb* W7 k6 A, A w* y
發表於 2014-3-19 09:47 AM
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TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。% b1 b- v, K( I. x1 v. p6 f* @
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。' [7 X( N+ \; j7 U# T
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