本帖最後由 aa00 於 2012-11-7 03:27 PM 編輯 5.39.217.762 m( a) J; T! f" r
' m& `3 H+ }! s) g5 @$ v信報社評：誰主白宮浮沉 兩大懸念難消TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。/ l9 ~ m- P' |0 w# Z
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* s6 f8 D8 P( ]tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb美國總統大選投票昨天拉開帷幕，投票開始前，奧巴馬和羅姆尼的支持率仍旗鼓相當，需要由搖擺選民在最後一刻的投票選擇所決定。基於兩黨總統候選人在 理念和政策主張上有顯著的差異，因此，不論誰人當選，都會對政治、經濟和社會政策產生不同影響。其中在經濟環節，兩個「懸念」更一直令金融市場寢食難安。$ N2 G* O. I- C' K
( @/ P8 |4 Q( w# Z( _公仔箱論壇 . {: l# z! V6 K ~其一，大選結束後，在解決「財政懸崖」 過程中，究竟會向市場釋放出多少風險；其二，美國目前的貨幣量寬會不會改變，包括聯儲局主席貝南奇「丟官」後，政策能否延續抑或逐步淡出，最終「QE3」 成為絕唱。很明顯，這兩個「懸念」的不確定性和發展風險變化，足以對美股、美元滙價、美債市以至全球經濟復蘇步履產生影響。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。1 g' d1 t; [- R- A9 q& C
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在競選期間，羅姆尼主張把前總統布殊的減稅計劃長期化、降低企業所得稅率及取消投資收益稅。在賦稅問題上，奧巴馬則強調向富有階層開刀，雙方僵持不下，意味兩黨就「財政懸崖」進行妥協的確有不小難度。( \& `9 z5 T. I2 q4 ^0 [( [
- R5 b2 y9 h; v' }& m可以看到，今屆大選，除了總統，還改選三十三名國會參議員、全部四百三十五名眾議員和若干州長等。若然共和黨繼續控制眾議院，而民主黨則繼續保持在參議院微弱多數的控制格局，一般估計，若羅姆尼勝選，他與參議院達成妥協的難度，較諸奧巴馬勝選後，要取得眾議院的支持為小，因而在迴避「財政懸崖」來臨的風險問 題上，羅姆尼可望有較寬的妥協時空。 " b0 T" B2 i: J9 {$ z* L3 uTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 V: i2 ~7 d. m# r* ytvb now,tvbnow,bttvb照發展形勢看，大選後，即將卸任的國會與政府能否在月底達成有關方案，避免明年初啟動為數逾六千億美元的增稅及削減支出計劃，看來並不容易，充其量只能協商出「拖延」問題的期限，把自動削赤機制暫緩。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb. n+ D ?6 s3 c% ]
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可以說，在解決「財政懸崖」臨頭的過程中，風險的變化，一定程度繫於總統寶座易主和兩黨操控參眾兩院的改選結局。 & Q9 L( D1 B4 s- ^TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb9 d& B, o5 Y3 L7 d2 @, }. V# O5 d
至 於牽動全球金融市場神經的美國貨幣政策，照一般估計，若奧巴馬勝選，目前量化寬鬆措施可望得以維持，聯儲局購債計劃繼續令債券利率處於低水平。一旦羅姆尼入主白宮，他批評貝南奇量化寬鬆損及美元、抬高油價，並刺激通脹升溫風險的三輪QE政策，估計在一定程度上受到弱化，甚至超低利率政策有機會提前結束。5.39.217.76, J! k/ ^% u; |. v9 T( l
* H$ X: |. W8 X/ `9 k' b6 C 3 m, D( b, r4 D; y+ Y) e公仔箱論壇U.S. President Barack Obama, who campaigned on a pledge to push the nation "forward" if he secured a second term as commander in chief, will have his opportunity to fulfill that promise after triumphing late Tuesday in a razor-thin contest with his Republican opponent Mitt Romney, according to U.S.networks. 4 b& Q) O& Q7 Z3 _# P5.39.217.76 " r: {$ c! h6 I p: X- K7 B3 p" JTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Obama wins Ohio… and four more years!TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。4 O2 X. Z! f2 h2 H
# r* F# N* u" x; C+ h% d" [) n% TTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。8 r8 V5 b8 K4 Y6 N, a TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。8 v" r T3 Z% j4 _) b* O
' v, h$ e% c3 c2 [' `1 v公仔箱論壇奧巴馬連任，羅姆尼發表簡短的落選宣言，承認落敗的他表示恭喜奧巴馬連任，並祝福奧巴馬與其家人，希望奧巴馬成功領導美國。他又感激他的妻子和拍檔瑞安在選舉期間的付出。羅姆尼演說內容全文如下： 0 o5 W9 U! h: w* n/ _! C1 W 7 s. K, Q8 V4 F- Z4 a5 q8 @ k公仔箱論壇 $ T$ u$ y4 U2 K* F# i, H4 E5.39.217.76ROMNEY: Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, my friends. Thank you so very much.5 d7 Q1 U" k5 k% ~( L
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Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. 3 f( c8 e& `7 e' m+ J' W5.39.217.76 ) U$ F, b8 U; L% |. i, p1 xTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。I have just called President Obama to congratulate him on his victory. His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb! d/ G- n# k3 `) V! v! D
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ROMNEY: His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations. I wish all of them well, but particularly the president, the first lady and their daughters.$ O; l4 k5 A' _$ y" d
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This is a time of great challenges for America, and I pray that the president will be successful in guiding our nation.8 R+ \) y& m0 t7 h- P
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(APPLAUSE) ( c' p; @+ d5 n$ O- G4 j1 m ) h. }8 y) q" p/ k$ b% E! h/ a5.39.217.76ROMNEY: I want to thank Paul Ryan for all that he has done for our campaign. - k9 ^; {7 E( g( q' S! u公仔箱論壇# K: V6 E# C1 Q
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5 D# }& r, u- M# U- J/ R% PAnd for our country.Besides my wife, Ann, Paul is the best choice I’ve ever made.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb( e1 c- f/ g% a* a
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And I trust that his intellect and his hard work and his commitment to principle will continue to contribute to the good of our nation. , K+ T' p5 L6 N: a" N2 o公仔箱論壇5.39.217.763 x0 G3 z2 S( _' ]& w
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; ?) V% N+ E( N W- R( F Y7 H4 u# cI also want to thank Ann, the love of my life.5.39.217.76. J! R1 N1 Z8 @5 f* [. k1 \9 I
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(APPLAUSE) ; J, }8 u) C- |) a( Z . J0 J8 t2 i( g: L6 dROMNEY: She would have been a wonderful first lady. She’s -- she has been that and more to me and to our family and to the many people that she has touched with her compassion and her care.6 ?3 i7 o' W# F2 q k" d4 F3 o
I thank my sons for their tireless work on behalf of the campaign, and thank their wives and children for taking up the slack as their husbands and dads have spent so many weeks away from home.2 \4 u* Q8 P6 _$ g) i$ n
/ R2 u$ ~ H" ^+ P# g9 w(APPLAUSE) ! `: r8 b# s- x+ O6 A8 v9 n7 {% jtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb9 p. }; r* D- z8 ]% _6 q
I want to thank Matt Rhoades and the dedicated campaign team he led. 公仔箱論壇/ W" b4 t+ D. s/ h# M0 W4 n- G
7 n8 K) K. M2 g# V( D公仔箱論壇They have made an extraordinary effort not just for me, but also for the country that we love.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 b/ I' `; {& {9 o5 V5 q
And to you here tonight, and to the team across the country -- the volunteers, the fundraisers,the donors, the surrogates -- I don’t believe that there’s ever been an effort in our party that can compare with what you have done over these past years.Thank you so very much.公仔箱論壇" w; X9 {6 f6 s9 W* O4 P1 l
! @( N* O! o% YThanks for all the hours of work, for the calls, for the speeches and appearances, for the resources and for the prayers. You gave deeply from yourselves and performed magnificently. And you inspired us and you humbled us. You’ve been the very best we could have imagined. ) B8 C' @6 s* a& E5 [: U+ @, s. x公仔箱論壇 , Q5 r! Y! K5 E3 `& s公仔箱論壇ROMNEY: The nation, as you know, is at a critical point. At a time like this, we can’t risk partisan bickering and political posturing. Our leaders have to reach across the aisle to do the people’s work. ( y( u! L. O# l* A( _. e$ mAnd we citizens also have to rise to the occasion. We look to our teachers and professors, we count on you not just to teach, but to inspire our children with a passion for learning and discovery. # `9 L( }/ Y$ x& F& \" O* S 6 S! D3 a, a9 w+ TTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。We look to our pastors and priests and rabbis and counselors of all kinds to testify of the enduring principles upon which our society is built: honesty, charity, integrity and family. : m5 b! e' a, J( e& \公仔箱論壇 , W: H; B! p9 Y5.39.217.76We look to our parents,for in the final analysis everything depends on the success of our homes. 6 l- |. O o9 Dtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb 3 s+ R, \. R& |4 e% G \5 K$ ]2 LROMNEY: We look to job creators of all kinds. We’re counting on you to invest, to hire, to step forward.公仔箱論壇! |9 q: Y6 G/ o; E9 Q4 b; a, ]
7 @6 P* c( n4 s, O6 M5.39.217.76And we look to Democrats and Republicans in government at all levels to put the people before the politics. , O( f& |/ Y, r' N% p2 Z! Z; K/ h6 Q/ x: K( D' U+ r
I believe in America. I believe in the people of America. ! c L$ o/ x ?( X! _' }公仔箱論壇 8 i: h O5 m" v9 w' Etvb now,tvbnow,bttvb(APPLAUSE)tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb) D7 x4 K; k, X" q- K$ v
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And I ran for office because I’m concerned about America. This election is over, but our principles endure. I believe that the principles upon which this nation was founded are the only sure guide to a resurgent economy and to renewed greatness.公仔箱論壇( j- m8 C3 P1 F# h& H
Like so many of you,Paul and I have left everything on the field. We have given our all to this campaign.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, u4 p" o8 s' @6 Z4 F! V' Q& e
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(APPLAUSE) , }3 b! |8 H5 Y! g$ Q2 yTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb, h& e' p f& R4 |- ~$ ~! a9 C4 g
I so wish -- I so wish that I had been able to fulfill your hopes to lead the country in a different direction, but the nation chose another leader. And so Ann and I join with you to earnestly pray for him and for this great nation.公仔箱論壇8 s6 `" F" n/ T+ |' ]
4 [* o/ x! m3 f- c) |% p5.39.217.76Thank you, and God bless America. You guys are the best. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thanks, guys. 2 |/ a" \: u# J6 Z" G5 B! l- r! Y5.39.217.76TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: C( a6 h, }1 R: `2 i" ?
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公仔箱論壇2 w9 X6 @4 w7 ]- |9 F1 ? Mitt Romney (GOP Candidate )Concession Speech: 2012 Presidential Election 6 i' s$ {8 O3 m+ T
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。: n+ y$ t- }9 R" s" G
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發表於 2012-11-7 07:43 AM
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