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其一，大選結束後，在解決「財政懸崖」 過程中，究竟會向市場釋放出多少風險；其二，美國目前的貨幣量寬會不會改變，包括聯儲局主席貝南奇「丟官」後，政策能否延續抑或逐步淡出，最終「QE3」 成為絕唱。很明顯，這兩個「懸念」的不確定性和發展風險變化，足以對美股、美元滙價、美債市以至全球經濟復蘇步履產生影響。tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb4 ~) B- }. ~) e' a' e w Y9 ^
4 R8 z- k" G5 H; [0 a* J5.39.217.76在競選期間，羅姆尼主張把前總統布殊的減稅計劃長期化、降低企業所得稅率及取消投資收益稅。在賦稅問題上，奧巴馬則強調向富有階層開刀，雙方僵持不下，意味兩黨就「財政懸崖」進行妥協的確有不小難度。: |; f: c+ p" S3 o/ s$ X* E, Z. `& {
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可以看到，今屆大選，除了總統，還改選三十三名國會參議員、全部四百三十五名眾議員和若干州長等。若然共和黨繼續控制眾議院，而民主黨則繼續保持在參議院微弱多數的控制格局，一般估計，若羅姆尼勝選，他與參議院達成妥協的難度，較諸奧巴馬勝選後，要取得眾議院的支持為小，因而在迴避「財政懸崖」來臨的風險問 題上，羅姆尼可望有較寬的妥協時空。4 x. t# P+ H6 O6 [( ?
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照發展形勢看，大選後，即將卸任的國會與政府能否在月底達成有關方案，避免明年初啟動為數逾六千億美元的增稅及削減支出計劃，看來並不容易，充其量只能協商出「拖延」問題的期限，把自動削赤機制暫緩。公仔箱論壇7 y1 _- I$ U/ u- \. c
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可以說，在解決「財政懸崖」臨頭的過程中，風險的變化，一定程度繫於總統寶座易主和兩黨操控參眾兩院的改選結局。: m+ J: O( i, J/ a: F5 T& u: v
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至 於牽動全球金融市場神經的美國貨幣政策，照一般估計，若奧巴馬勝選，目前量化寬鬆措施可望得以維持，聯儲局購債計劃繼續令債券利率處於低水平。一旦羅姆尼入主白宮，他批評貝南奇量化寬鬆損及美元、抬高油價，並刺激通脹升溫風險的三輪QE政策，估計在一定程度上受到弱化，甚至超低利率政策有機會提前結束。 + z6 L ^- \$ }' K( FTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。5.39.217.76# x7 U* B: C ]; u1 K( r6 p
但不論誰人當選，美國政府必須解決巨大的財赤問題。按財政部不久前公布由十月至明年三月間將發行逾六千億美元淨適銷債券，以挹注政府開支。很明顯，美國龐大財赤得以維持，是拜低息所賜。目前十年期國債孳息率約一厘七，但利率始終有回升一日。: [9 R6 y8 z6 J% A: ?& @- v+ R
林博文: 美國選民的抉擇 9 A: N3 v7 }; O$ B4 E L1 p$ n5.39.217.76TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。! z) I8 e! Q8 `$ }. F' w
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二十多年來，共和黨和保守派把雷根捧為「救世主」，連民主黨的歐巴馬亦對雷根稱頌有加。然而，雷根（二○○四年以九十三歲高齡辭世）如活到今天，他將不認識今天的共和黨和保守派，亦會對華府的政治文化大搖其頭。# G, s; `5 O t0 C! p, i d. q4 T
% g# ]( X$ _* [" k+ t: L7 ?" rTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 8 V1 `' K( D8 r( i$ J2012-11-07 12:20:17 9 Z3 J. A9 E6 g9 m7 wTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。美國有線新聞網絡(CNN)最新預測，民主黨候選人奧巴馬以274票，力壓暫奪201票的對手羅姆尼，成功競逐連任第57屆美國總統。 8 G8 u% X5 {$ c7 Q9 }) l+ Z! KTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 2 H" X8 o/ i; x9 x% J4 @4 }& R調查結果顯示，奧巴馬在關鍵搖擺州俄亥俄，奪得18票勝利，但另外亦屬關鍵搖擺州分的佛羅里達州，則仍然未有投票預測結果。5.39.217.76+ T9 J9 g. x- Y, e% x
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。( p" z* j" b) m0 c$ _0 O
成功競逐連任的奧巴馬，早前已俄勒岡、新墨西哥、加州取、華盛頓州、威斯康辛州、明尼蘇達伊利諾、新罕布什爾、賓夕凡尼亞、新澤西、密歇根、紐約、麻省、羅得島、伊利諾、馬里蘭、康湼狄格、佛蒙特、哥倫比亞特區、特拉華及緬因州勝出。 ; d& d) M6 a' Y9 K9 C( v5.39.217.76 : u- X5 O2 s Btvb now,tvbnow,bttvb而落選的共和黨候選人羅姆尼，則在愛達荷州、蒙大拿、亞利桑那州、猶他、懷俄明、北達科他、南達科他、內華達、堪薩斯、阿拉巴馬、德薩斯、路易斯安那、俄克拉荷馬、南卡羅來納、印第安納、肯塔基、喬洽亞、西維珍尼亞、阿肯色及田納西州勝出。 & ~: n/ T6 \- W# r7 N ' p; E7 _( Q" L: z! d- QTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。但目前關鍵搖擺州分之一的，佛羅里達州仍然未有投票預測結果。TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, |) r( W( `2 n' T: X' U9 z& }6 Y0 R1 C
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U.S. President Barack Obama, who campaigned on a pledge to push the nation "forward" if he secured a second term as commander in chief, will have his opportunity to fulfill that promise after triumphing late Tuesday in a razor-thin contest with his Republican opponent Mitt Romney, according to U.S.networks. * s9 i, o) T4 O( |0 STVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 / Y5 X) F( {1 p. r# TTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Obama wins Ohio… and four more years! : y6 g5 U3 f! O# M6 V$ ?公仔箱論壇, N1 e7 }: W n$ E, F' s* `
' O' @% H5 b% J3 o奧巴馬連任，羅姆尼發表簡短的落選宣言，承認落敗的他表示恭喜奧巴馬連任，並祝福奧巴馬與其家人，希望奧巴馬成功領導美國。他又感激他的妻子和拍檔瑞安在選舉期間的付出。羅姆尼演說內容全文如下：tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb7 b* R! o3 B: E1 C. u
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8 v) c4 @' ^& qROMNEY: Thank you. Thank you. Thank you. Thank you, my friends. Thank you so very much.7 i5 G" K& |+ j3 p- a h0 S+ a, H
' ]0 V: y' k7 ?公仔箱論壇(APPLAUSE) % u. P9 P5 G# \( L* A7 \1 ~. ] 9 J/ i/ D+ b, _. nThank you. Thank you. Thank you., q5 S( d* ]% d* n! J( b) [& p
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I have just called President Obama to congratulate him on his victory. His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations." d# N) f; K* o( O7 w9 ]
: H% b6 |2 \7 Q" @. y/ z3 IROMNEY: His supporters and his campaign also deserve congratulations. I wish all of them well, but particularly the president, the first lady and their daughters.5.39.217.768 h% t; [ F4 W. j5 ~; r* N6 o
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(APPLAUSE)) W+ d, m4 `) [! M$ N
# _3 f0 t1 X$ h7 `TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。This is a time of great challenges for America, and I pray that the president will be successful in guiding our nation.; a0 w% m$ P, ^8 V B' l/ A; e' m
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。; l, M0 t9 `; W
(APPLAUSE) $ J# I7 Y% ~3 O# E& x- n公仔箱論壇 $ t1 F' p1 R( a% v6 z2 jROMNEY: I want to thank Paul Ryan for all that he has done for our campaign.5.39.217.76( y! p# ]" R* x4 y: ^
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(APPLAUSE)tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb8 G& e `& \8 l# I4 q: |' z
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And for our country.Besides my wife, Ann, Paul is the best choice I’ve ever made.* y7 Z+ H, `6 P' v" t" G9 {
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(APPLAUSE)TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。. c& J T8 S5 h3 j7 q
) y3 h5 F$ h/ @4 o5 A( M/ {And I trust that his intellect and his hard work and his commitment to principle will continue to contribute to the good of our nation.公仔箱論壇- j% B( n% M7 \! d0 W
1 I0 w7 {6 r9 S! ^, \& b(APPLAUSE)tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb6 n6 i: E1 a, i7 b4 U( [
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I also want to thank Ann, the love of my life. ! v7 y( h! j& F' y, p" p+ R公仔箱論壇5.39.217.76+ W5 N% X& {9 h" H* d& @7 d
(APPLAUSE)tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb. {4 ]7 n1 z: _$ G8 V' x: I
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ROMNEY: She would have been a wonderful first lady. She’s -- she has been that and more to me and to our family and to the many people that she has touched with her compassion and her care.3 ] L+ z8 z) P5 }" { l
I thank my sons for their tireless work on behalf of the campaign, and thank their wives and children for taking up the slack as their husbands and dads have spent so many weeks away from home.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb# f$ m# x- N' @- Z& r# _* B
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(APPLAUSE)5.39.217.76; x$ a% D$ V6 g6 S% ]0 i
) V$ Q6 Z! m+ F( b; D# b9 n0 m E公仔箱論壇I want to thank Matt Rhoades and the dedicated campaign team he led. 公仔箱論壇/ [- s0 s' L6 w9 o) |7 V
& p( H9 e. N- CTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。(APPLAUSE) ' q6 _9 p: i$ k! x( d0 N) k v5.39.217.76 ; L. H/ C2 \( x+ H* y- H1 l8 Z公仔箱論壇They have made an extraordinary effort not just for me, but also for the country that we love. . c1 i/ k: z: U6 f9 A, y2 _6 v公仔箱論壇And to you here tonight, and to the team across the country -- the volunteers, the fundraisers,the donors, the surrogates -- I don’t believe that there’s ever been an effort in our party that can compare with what you have done over these past years.Thank you so very much. 2 p, [9 I7 b4 `5 l, _6 nTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 $ L: o" m2 ^- D2 f$ Z5.39.217.76Thanks for all the hours of work, for the calls, for the speeches and appearances, for the resources and for the prayers. You gave deeply from yourselves and performed magnificently. And you inspired us and you humbled us. You’ve been the very best we could have imagined.公仔箱論壇- X9 Q* R, W. E( T, i3 p3 b
6 n6 E- D5 F9 }1 j: RROMNEY: The nation, as you know, is at a critical point. At a time like this, we can’t risk partisan bickering and political posturing. Our leaders have to reach across the aisle to do the people’s work.5.39.217.76- a" s2 j4 M- K) P5 |+ E8 _
And we citizens also have to rise to the occasion. We look to our teachers and professors, we count on you not just to teach, but to inspire our children with a passion for learning and discovery. K5 `! b" F& n( \
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We look to our pastors and priests and rabbis and counselors of all kinds to testify of the enduring principles upon which our society is built: honesty, charity, integrity and family. + h8 K$ c% Y1 i! P" J* zTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。 ) f" L- ]( r) M6 _8 CWe look to our parents,for in the final analysis everything depends on the success of our homes. : H' e( a! D, D! z4 ]0 n: K! \4 {5.39.217.765 I) ^3 A. I' I* j9 \' y3 D
ROMNEY: We look to job creators of all kinds. We’re counting on you to invest, to hire, to step forward. * E6 s3 P7 k7 f. I$ H, S }$ P1 [* R4 l" w/ F, h; e [6 UTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。And we look to Democrats and Republicans in government at all levels to put the people before the politics.TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。# u2 W0 W% X- @7 e7 b3 ]* y( Q
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。, ?6 N* T0 t! u
I believe in America. I believe in the people of America.! i }5 x' r2 S2 ?2 K
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And I ran for office because I’m concerned about America. This election is over, but our principles endure. I believe that the principles upon which this nation was founded are the only sure guide to a resurgent economy and to renewed greatness.tvb now,tvbnow,bttvb" W h Z b1 y' r! H
Like so many of you,Paul and I have left everything on the field. We have given our all to this campaign. $ q' o; H1 a9 c6 i7 C! D% o5.39.217.76 ' y% x% i9 m) b0 y) U(APPLAUSE)5.39.217.76, b, e5 Y T' _: P- e; C' |, U# j
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。4 q5 g. }+ w4 z2 h' n& e# l* e5 ]
I so wish -- I so wish that I had been able to fulfill your hopes to lead the country in a different direction, but the nation chose another leader. And so Ann and I join with you to earnestly pray for him and for this great nation. - H- e' l( |! Y1 g9 M c$ ^3 o% O) }: S% cTVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。Thank you, and God bless America. You guys are the best. Thank you so much. Thank you. Thanks, guys. 6 o# E5 s8 ]0 E
; |% ~ o+ e% z8 o d3 g; R' P* s% Gtvb now,tvbnow,bttvb(APPLAUSE)# G g; K# q g# A. k
" _% ]+ ~" j# d9 t5.39.217.76Mitt Romney (GOP Candidate )Concession Speech: 2012 Presidential Election ; ?" I* e) s6 t2 H- m2 b o# J公仔箱論壇1 i* \7 P* I, E x7 }/ L6 T
TVBNOW 含有熱門話題，最新最快電視，軟體，遊戲，電影，動漫及日常生活及興趣交流等資訊。/ u# c8 }1 V2 Y8 ~- S2 ~! s
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發表於 2012-11-7 07:43 AM
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